These recommendations are for building native enterprise applications on iOS and Android - forms, data grids, reports. They are not for games or media applications.
Here are the choices in alphabetical order:
Declarative UIs are state of the art. Learn about it here.
Picking a popular technology makes our developer life easier: Easier to learn, easier to build, debug & deploy, easier to hire, and easier to convince teammates & bosses. Popularity can make a difference in two situations: When multiple technologies score the same, you could go for the most popular one. And when a technology is very unpopular, we may not use it.
Now I look at technology popularity as a funnel from interest to learning, application, and finally to skill:
We’re interested in the trend of the ratio between competing technologies. So we use Google searches to measure interest, Udemy course buyers to measure learning, Stack Overflow questions to measure learning & application, and mentions in Indeed job ads to measure skills.
Google Trends demonstrates the initial interest in a technology over time. “More searches = better” to me.
This link produces the chart above.
Flutter wins, React Native is second, Xamarin third, and JavaFX fourth. Both Flutter and React Native are growing, but Flutter’s growth is more substantial. JavaFX and Xamarin have declined for 5 years now.
Udemy is one of the biggest online learning sites. They publish the number of courses and the number of students (beyond a certain threshold). This shows how many people evaluate a technology. I compare the number of students from my first measurements in March (“Mar 21”) vs. the December number. React Native is the baseline.
Flutter wins, React Native is second, Xamarin third, and JavaFX fourth. Flutter increased its lead over React Native while Xamarin lost ground. JavaFX grew a lot but from a lower level.
Here are the links that show the courses for all and the number of students for some:
Stack Overflow Trends shows which percentage of questions at Stack Overflow has a particular technology tag. It is a proxy for using a technology during evaluation and productive use. “More questions = better” to me.
This link produces the chart above.
Flutter wins, React Native is second. Flutter’s growth used to be much stronger than React Native’s. Both Flutter nosedived in recent months; React Native lost, too. JavaFX and Xamarin have declined for 4-5 years.
The Indeed job search is active in 63 countries representing 92% of the worldwide GDP in 2020. It demonstrates the willingness of organizations to pay for a technology - the strongest indicator of popularity in my mind. I compare mentions in job ads from August (“Aug 21”) against measurements from December (“Dec 21”). This time, Flutter is the baseline.
React Native wins, Flutters is second, Xamarin third, and JavaFX last. Flutter closed the gap to React Native a bit, which declined slightly in absolute numbers. Xamarin gained mentions but lost relative to Flutter. JavaFX dropped like a stone.
Please see here for details, caveats, and adjustments of the job ad mentions.
You can find the detailed search results with links here. They include breakdowns by continents:
I use the following criteria to recommend one of the two choices - Flutter and React Native:
Based on these criteria and my ratings, Flutters is the winner, React Native is second. That’s why my recommendation is: