Here is the scorecard of Jakarta EE (100%), not on the card, vs. Spring Boot (left) and Quarkus (right). The arrows show the trend vs. Jakarta EE.
Spring Boot pulls away from Jakarta EE everywhere except for job ad mentions, which have dropped by 21% since June 2022. Quarkus gains on Jakarta EE everywhere and pulls away in Stack Overflow questions.
Here are my recommendations:
| 2023 | Q1 | |||||||
| 2022 | Q4 | Q3 | Jun | May | Apr | Mar | Feb | Jan |
| 2021 | Dec | Nov |
Here are the choices in alphabetical order:
Picking a popular technology makes our developer life easier: Easier to learn, easier to build, debug & deploy, easier to find jobs/hire, and easier to convince teammates & bosses. Now popularity can make a difference in two situations: When multiple technologies score similarly, we could go for the most popular one. And when a technology is very unpopular, we may not use it.
I measure popularity among employers and developers as the trend between competing technologies. I count mentions in job ads at Indeed for employer popularity. For developer popularity, I use Google searches, Udemy course buyers, and Stack Overflow questions.
The Indeed job search is active in 62 countries. I picked 59 countries representing 69% of the worldwide GDP in 2022, excluding three countries because English word searches proved ineffective there: China, Japan, and South Korea. Job searches demonstrate the willingness of organizations to pay for a technology - the strongest indicator of popularity in my mind. Jakarta EE is the baseline. The chart is not proportional, so all frameworks fit nicely.
Spring Boot wins, Jakarta EE is second, Quarkus third, and Micronaut fourth. The number of developer ads is down in Q1/2023. Spring Boot has declined for nine months, dropping 21% to a 4.6:1 lead over Jakarta EE. Jakarta EE won 2023 so far — it gained on all other frameworks. The new kids, Quarkus and Micronaut, are the winners at #3 and #4, respectively, moving in lockstep. But both dropped significantly in the last two months — time will tell if this decline is here to stay. After a rollercoaster ride, Dropwizard went from #3 to #5 at just 29% of its starting share. Helidon and MicroProfile are insignificant in the job market.
Please see here for details, caveats, and adjustments to the job ad mentions.
You can find the detailed search results with links here. They include breakdowns by continents:
Udemy is one of the biggest online learning sites. They publish the number of people who bought a course (beyond a certain threshold, possibly around 100k). This shows how many people evaluate a technology. Jakarta EE is the baseline. The other frameworks haven’t crossed the reporting threshold for Udemy (probably around 100,000 students).
Spring Boot wins over Jakarta EE and is increasing its lead. In the last 15 months, only 19k students bought their first Jakarta EE course – but eleven times as many (210k) bought their first Spring Boot course. The Spring Framework also grows strongly.
Here are the links that show the courses for all and the number of students for some:
Google Trends demonstrates the initial interest in a technology over time. Here are all frameworks, but Helidon - Google Trends only allows five at the same time:
Google changed its measurement algorithms on January 1, 2016, and January 1, 2022. That caused spikes for all values, especially in 2022.
This link produces the chart above. This version switches in Helidon for Micronaut and this one MicroProfile — which isn’t making a difference in the chart.
Spring Boot wins, and Jakarta EE is second. Jakarta EE lost 98% since 2004, equaling Quarkus at two today. Spring Boot stabilized in the last few months and just hit its all-time high again, leading both Quarkus and Jakarta EE nearly 20:1. DropWizard, Micronaut, and Helidon do not matter here.
We can’t pick a third place in the chart, so let’s zoom in on the five challengers over the last three years (chart link):
Quarkus leads the new frameworks. Quarkus tripled in two years but then stagnated in the last year. Helidon and Micronaut grew slightly. MicroProfile and DropWizard stayed flat.
How does Jakarta EE fare against Quarkus over the last three years (chart link)?
Jakarta EE beats Quarkus narrowly. Quarkus is neck-to-neck with Jakarta EE, but Jakarta EE currently leads and has done so all but two months.
We can run database queries against the questions, answers, and comments at Stack Overflow with the StackExchange Data Explorer. The number of questions is a proxy for using a technology during evaluation and productive use. “More questions = better” to me.
I used two queries to get the number of monthly questions below because putting all in one query timed out. You can run them in the StackExchange Data Explorer.
DECLARE @StartDate DATE = '2009-01-01';
DECLARE @EndDate DATE = '2023-03-31';
WITH TaggedQuestions AS (
SELECT
Id,
CreationDate,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<spring>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS SpringTag,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<spring-boot>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS SpringBootTag,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<jakarta-ee>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS JakartaEETag
FROM Posts
WHERE
PostTypeId = 1 AND -- 1 for questions
CreationDate >= @StartDate AND
CreationDate <= @EndDate
),
MonthlyCounts AS (
SELECT
DATEADD(month, DATEDIFF(month, 0, CreationDate), 0) AS Month,
SUM(SpringTag) AS Spring,
SUM(SpringBootTag) AS SpringBoot,
SUM(JakartaEETag) AS JakartaEE
FROM TaggedQuestions
GROUP BY DATEADD(month, DATEDIFF(month, 0, CreationDate), 0)
)
SELECT
Month,
Spring,
SpringBoot,
JakartaEE
FROM MonthlyCounts
ORDER BY Month;
DECLARE @StartDate DATE = '2009-01-01';
DECLARE @EndDate DATE = '2023-03-31';
WITH TaggedQuestions AS (
SELECT
Id,
CreationDate,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<quarkus>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS QuarkusTag,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<micronaut>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS MicronautTag,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<helidon>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS HelidonTag,
CASE WHEN CHARINDEX('<dropwizard>', Tags) > 0 THEN 1 ELSE 0 END AS DropWizardTag
FROM Posts
WHERE
PostTypeId = 1 AND -- 1 for questions
CreationDate >= @StartDate AND
CreationDate <= @EndDate
),
MonthlyCounts AS (
SELECT
DATEADD(month, DATEDIFF(month, 0, CreationDate), 0) AS Month,
SUM(QuarkusTag) AS Quarkus,
SUM(MicronautTag) AS Micronaut,
SUM(HelidonTag) AS Helidon,
SUM(DropWizardTag) AS DropWizard
FROM TaggedQuestions
GROUP BY DATEADD(month, DATEDIFF(month, 0, CreationDate), 0)
)
SELECT
Month,
Quarkus,
Micronaut,
Helidon,
DropWizard
FROM MonthlyCounts
ORDER BY Month;
Spring Boot wins by an order of magnitude, while Quarkus places second and Jakarta EE third. After losing 40% of its 2020 question volume in the following two years, Spring Boot made up half that loss since early 2022. After rising slowly for three years, Quarkus stagnated last year and sits at 5% of Spring Boot’s volume. With 486 questions as its all-time high in 2013, Jakarta EE is now down to a relatively low 22 questions in March 2023. Even Micronaut has more at 35. DropWizard shrunk from a low high of 51 questions in 2015 to just four last month, while Helidon never got more than 10.
javax.* to jakarta.*. After Java EE 8 in August 2017, we had to wait five years for new features in Jakarta EE 10. But the more significant issue is that Jakarta EE was designed for application servers like IBM WebSphere that host many applications on big and expensive servers. We’re rapidly moving into a world where our Java applications run as close to the metal as possible, as microservices in small containers or even serverless. Will that world still have a place for Jakarta EE? Only time will tell.So here’s my recommendation: