Java Full-Stack Index November 2021: Back-End
These recommendations are for building enterprise applications on PCs and mobile devices - forms, data grids, reports. They are not for games or media applications.
Here are the choices in alphabetical order:
Picking a popular technology makes our developer life easier: Easier to learn, easier to build, debug & deploy, easier to hire, and easier to convince teammates & bosses. Popularity can make a difference in two situations: When multiple technologies score the same, you could go for the most popular one. And when a technology is very unpopular, we may not use it.
Now I look at technology popularity as a funnel from interest to learning, application, and finally to skill:
We’re interested in the trend of the ratio between competing technologies. So we use Google searches to measure interest, Udemy course buyers to measure learning, Stack Overflow questions to measure learning & application, and mentions in Indeed job ads to measure skills.
Google Trends demonstrates the initial interest in a technology over time. Here are all frameworks, but Helidon - Google Trends only allows five at the same time:
This link produces the chart above. This version switches in Helidon for Micronaut, and this one MicroProfile - which isn’t making a difference in the chart.
Spring Boot wins, and Jakarta EE is second. Jakarta EE’s decline in popularity here is remarkable. We can’t pick a third place in this chart, so let’s zoom in on the five challengers over the last two years:
So Quarkus is the clear leader of the challengers, with the other four battling it out for the second place. This is the link for the chart.
How does Jakarta EE fare against Quarkus?
If current trends hold, then Quarkus could overtake Jakarta EE in about two years. Here’s the link for this chart.
Udemy is one of the biggest online learning sites. They publish the number of courses and the number of students (if it goes beyond a certain threshold). This shows how many people evaluate a technology. I compare the number of students from my first measurements in October vs. the number at the end of November, with Jakarta EE as the baseline.
So Spring Boot wins ahead of Jakarta EE with 3.5 times as many students. Still, this is a victory for Jakarta EE: Last month, it didn’t cross Udemy’s reporting threshold and showed zero students.
Here are the links that show the courses for all and the number of students for some:
Stack Overflow Trends shows which percentage of questions at Stack Overflow has a particular technology tag. It is a proxy for using a technology during evaluation and productive use. “More questions = better” to me.
Spring Boot wins by an order of magnitude, while Quarkus places second and Jakarta EE third. Spring Boot continues its recent decline and is back to its mid-2019 level. Quarkus and Jakarta EE are flat. DropWizard, Helidon, Micronaut, and MicroProfile have no tag on Stack Overflow. This link produces the chart above.
The Indeed job search is active in 63 countries representing 92% of the worldwide GDP in 2020. It demonstrates the willingness of organizations to pay for a technology - the strongest indicator of popularity in my mind. I compare mentions in job ads from October against measurements from November. Jakarta EE is the baseline.
Spring Boot wins, and Jakarta EE is second. After that, the numbers are weak: 1,300 job ads worldwide mention DropWizard, 800 Quarkus, and 500 Micronaut. Helidon and MicroProfile put up an abysmal performance with 100 mentions each. I did measure these numbers for November but tuned my search to include more spelling versions of some technologies. That’s why I can’t compare them to last month’s numbers.
Please see here for details, caveats, and adjustments of the job ad mentions.
You can find the detailed search results with links here. They include breakdowns by continents:
javax.* to jakarta.*. So even though Jakarta EE saw three releases since 2019, I think relatively little functionality has changed since Java EE 8 in August 2017. But the bigger issue is that Jakarta EE was designed for application servers like IBM WebSphere that host many applications on big and expensive servers. We’re rapidly moving into a world where our Java applications run as close to the metal as possible, all by themselves as microservices in small containers or even serverless. This world has no place for application server software anymore. Will it have one for Jakarta EE? Only time will tell.So here’s my recommendation: